My story: https://open.substack.com/pub/natesnewsletter/p/july-4th-silicon-cookout-how-us-china?r=1z4sm5&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
My site: https://natebjones.com/
My links: https://linktr.ee/natebjones
My substack: https://natesnewsletter.substack.com/
Takeaways
1. Cold-War Frame Is Obsolete: Treating AI like nuclear weapons ignores internet-speed proliferation and invites miscalculation rather than restraint.
2. Containment Backfires: Export controls spur efficiency breakthroughs such as DeepSeek’s GPT-4 performance with 90 % less compute, narrowing the U.S.–China gap.
3. Shared Risks Cross Borders: Cyber cascades, bio-engineering misuse, and economic shocks will spread globally; no nation can fence them off.
4. Graduated Engagement: Compete on values and commerce, but cooperate on existential hazards through joint risk panels and parallel safety standards.
5. Practical Safety Tools: Establish technical hotlines for AI anomalies, shared research transparency zones, and third-party verification by neutral states.
6. Smart Rivalry Over Zero-Sum Race: Aligning on baseline protections lets both superpowers innovate while safeguarding humanity’s long-term flourishing.
Quotes
“We don’t live in a singleton world; intelligence now spreads at internet speed.”
“Yesterday’s strategies fail when today’s technology knows no borders.”
“Smart rivalry means brothers can compete—yet still have each other’s backs.”
Summary
In this July 4th reflection, I explain why framing U.S.–China AI development as a Cold War is dangerously outdated. Because models proliferate at internet speed, export controls backfire, driving breakthroughs like DeepSeek’s GPT-4-level system built with 90 % less compute. Unchecked rivalry magnifies shared threats—cyber cascading failures, bio-risks, economic shocks—that ignore borders. I propose ‘graduated engagement’: compete where values diverge, but cooperate on existential risks through joint risk panels, AI hotlines, parallel safety standards, research transparency zones, and neutral third-party verification. Smart rivalry, not zero-sum containment, is the only path to a safer AI future for everyone.
Keywords
AI Cold War, AI competition, export controls, efficiency breakthrough, DeepSeek, GPT-4 parity, systemic risk, graduated engagement, AI safety standards, autonomous weapons, cyber cascades, bio-risk, economic shocks, AI hotlines, research transparency, third-party verification, U.S.–China relations, superpowers, July 4th
My site: https://natebjones.com/
My links: https://linktr.ee/natebjones
My substack: https://natesnewsletter.substack.com/
Takeaways
1. Cold-War Frame Is Obsolete: Treating AI like nuclear weapons ignores internet-speed proliferation and invites miscalculation rather than restraint.
2. Containment Backfires: Export controls spur efficiency breakthroughs such as DeepSeek’s GPT-4 performance with 90 % less compute, narrowing the U.S.–China gap.
3. Shared Risks Cross Borders: Cyber cascades, bio-engineering misuse, and economic shocks will spread globally; no nation can fence them off.
4. Graduated Engagement: Compete on values and commerce, but cooperate on existential hazards through joint risk panels and parallel safety standards.
5. Practical Safety Tools: Establish technical hotlines for AI anomalies, shared research transparency zones, and third-party verification by neutral states.
6. Smart Rivalry Over Zero-Sum Race: Aligning on baseline protections lets both superpowers innovate while safeguarding humanity’s long-term flourishing.
Quotes
“We don’t live in a singleton world; intelligence now spreads at internet speed.”
“Yesterday’s strategies fail when today’s technology knows no borders.”
“Smart rivalry means brothers can compete—yet still have each other’s backs.”
Summary
In this July 4th reflection, I explain why framing U.S.–China AI development as a Cold War is dangerously outdated. Because models proliferate at internet speed, export controls backfire, driving breakthroughs like DeepSeek’s GPT-4-level system built with 90 % less compute. Unchecked rivalry magnifies shared threats—cyber cascading failures, bio-risks, economic shocks—that ignore borders. I propose ‘graduated engagement’: compete where values diverge, but cooperate on existential risks through joint risk panels, AI hotlines, parallel safety standards, research transparency zones, and neutral third-party verification. Smart rivalry, not zero-sum containment, is the only path to a safer AI future for everyone.
Keywords
AI Cold War, AI competition, export controls, efficiency breakthrough, DeepSeek, GPT-4 parity, systemic risk, graduated engagement, AI safety standards, autonomous weapons, cyber cascades, bio-risk, economic shocks, AI hotlines, research transparency, third-party verification, U.S.–China relations, superpowers, July 4th
- Category
- Artificial Intelligence
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